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Starbucks Finally Finds Its Groove: A Fourth Straight Quarter of Sales Growth Sends Shares Up 9%

Joe Weisenthal
Last updated: 30.07.2026 16:20
Joe Weisenthal
5 дней ago
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Starbucks Finally Finds Its Groove: A Fourth Straight Quarter of Sales Growth Sends Shares Up 9%
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Starbucks raised its full-year earnings guidance after reporting fiscal third-quarter results that topped analyst expectations, driven by a 7.9% rise in global comparable store sales that marked the company's fourth consecutive quarter of comparable sales growth. For fiscal 2026, the company lifted its adjusted earnings-per-share target to a range of $2.55 to $2.65, up from $2.25 to $2.45, while raising its outlook for US same-store sales growth to slightly above 6% and global same-store sales growth to nearly 6%, both up from prior guidance of at least 5%. KeyToFinancialTrends notes that four consecutive quarters of comparable sales growth is the specific milestone that matters most here: a single strong quarter can reflect a lucky product cycle or easy prior-year comparison, but a full year of sustained improvement signals the company's underlying operational turnaround has taken hold rather than producing an isolated bounce.

The composition of that 7.9% sales gain suggests the improvement is broad-based rather than driven by a single lever. The increase was split between a 4.2% lift in transaction volume and a 3.5% improvement in average ticket size, with North America leading the way at an 8.1% comparable sales increase and a 4.5% jump in customer traffic, clearing analyst estimates of 6%. KeyToFinancialTrends treats that volume-and-price split as evidence of genuine demand recovery rather than the kind of results a company can generate purely through price increases: transaction volume actually rising, not merely average spending per visit, means more customers are choosing to walk through the door, a harder metric to move through pricing strategy alone.

Starbucks' bottom line benefited from a structural change beyond the sales recovery itself. Net income attributable to the company jumped to $1.05 billion, or 91 cents per share, from $558.3 million, or 49 cents per share, a year earlier, even as net revenues slipped 1% to $9.32 billion, a decline the company attributed to April's divestiture of a controlling stake in its China retail operations to funds managed by Boyu Capital. Analysts frame that combination, falling revenue alongside nearly doubled net income, as the clearest sign of how much the China divestiture reshaped Starbucks' financial profile: shedding a lower-margin international operation while its core US and comparable-sales business accelerated allowed profitability to surge even as the top-line growth figure alone would have understated the improvement.

Tariff policy provided an additional, less-discussed tailwind for the quarter's results. Starbucks received tariff refunds after US Customs and Border Protection opened a platform in April for importers to submit refund requests under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, with chief financial officer Cathy Smith telling analysts those refunds essentially canceled out the tariff costs the company had accumulated over the first nine months of fiscal 2026. Key To Financial Trends closes on that tariff-refund timing as a detail worth separating from the underlying operational story: while the refunds provided real financial relief this specific quarter, they represent a one-time reversal of accumulated costs rather than a recurring tailwind, meaning the roughly 430-basis-point expansion in non-GAAP operating margin to 14.4% likely overstates the structural margin improvement investors should expect to persist once the refund effect fully cycles through.

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